Sunday, March 25, 2007

Assessing Fred Thompson's chances

Elephant Biz's Bill Hobbs has a very thoughful piece on Fred Thompson's probable impact on the primaries - and on the general election. Go read it all.

Fred Thompson is clearly electable in November - the latest Rasmussen poll shows Thompson virtually tied with Clinton, leading her 44-43. Would his entry into the race cost Giuliani some of his support amongst conservatives looking for a horse who can best Hillary? It's hard to see how it wouldn't.

My prediction: The first reliable national polls after Thompson announces his candidacy will have Thompson roughly tied with Giuliani, and both of them at least 10 points ahead of McCain and Romney.

Courtesy of Bill Hobbs at Elephant Biz

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